Is Lucid Stock a Buy at $7.25?

2 hours ago 1

Will Ebiefung, The Motley Fool

Sat, April 25, 2026 astatine 2:05 PM CDT 4 min read

There are nary guarantees successful the concern world. If you stake connected the incorrect institution astatine the incorrect time, beryllium prepared to perchance suffer boatloads of money. Lucid Group's (NASDAQ: LCID) aboriginal backers learned this acquisition well. Shares successful the electric conveyance start-up are down by a blistering 99% from the all-time precocious they reached successful aboriginal 2021.

The biggest loser is astir apt the Saudi Arabian government, which controls implicit 60% of the company's equity done its Public Investment Fund (PIF). But plentifulness of regular investors person besides gotten burned. Let's excavation deeper to spot if the concern tin crook astir implicit the adjacent fewer years.

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The warfare successful Iran mightiness beryllium an underacknowledged bullish origin for the electrical conveyance industry. The struggle has virtually choked disconnected the Strait of Hormuz, done which 20% of the world's lipid shipment volumes pass. Many apical Middle Eastern vigor producers person been caught successful the crosshairs, sending lipid futures up by a whopping 53% twelvemonth to date.

Electric vehicles let radical to bypass lipid prices by getting energy from the grid, which is typically little volatile. There are signs that consumers are already changing their behavior. Data from New Automotive indicates that EV registrations surged 51% twelvemonth implicit twelvemonth crossed 15 countries successful the European Union. In the U.S., online marketplace Autotrader reports a 28% leap successful inquiries astir EVs.

The concern besides has important governmental ramifications arsenic governments astir the satellite recognize the value of reducing their reliance connected imported oil. This inclination could promote them to enactment the industry.

Favorable macroeconomic conditions don't substance overmuch if a institution can't person them to profits. Lucid's fourth-quarter net were a mixed bag. The bully quality is that top-line figures were phenomenal. Revenue surged 123% twelvemonth implicit twelvemonth to $522.7 cardinal amid a immense surge successful deliveries driven by the company's caller midsize SUV, the Gravity.

Generally, SUVs are a overmuch much fashionable conveyance benignant than luxury sedans successful the U.S. The motorboat of the Gravity past twelvemonth has rapidly expanded Lucid's addressable market. That said, with a starting MSRP of $79,900, the car is simply a small pricey. Over the adjacent fewer years, absorption could boost maturation by pivoting to lower-priced offerings specified arsenic the Lucid Earth, expected to commencement astatine $50,000 erstwhile it becomes disposable adjacent year.

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