Will Trump Nationalize SpaceX? Here's What Betting Markets Are Predicting Post-IPO.

The Trump Administration has not been shy astir taking ownership stakes successful what it views arsenic captious suppliers of goods and services cardinal to U.S. interests.

In caller years, the U.S. authorities has taken interests successful semiconductor elephantine Intel Corp. (NASDAQ: INTC), rare-earth miner MP Materials (NYSE: MP), and lithium shaper Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC).

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"The U.S. authorities has negotiated stakes successful dozens of companies," reports CNBC. "Some U.S. ownership stakes person been opportunistic, portion others person been a portion of a broader economical strategy."

Now, there's a rising content that the U.S. authorities volition instrumentality ownership stakes successful cardinal artificial quality companies. Last month, Senator Bernie Sanders wrote an sentiment portion for The New York Times suggesting that citizens see nationalizing definite almighty companies that power captious AI technologies.

"Artificial quality volition astir surely beryllium the astir transformational exertion successful the past of the world," Sanders wrote. "The question, then, is not whether A.I. volition alteration the world. It will. The question is: Who volition ain and power that future? Who volition payment from it, and who volition beryllium wounded by it?"

Sanders's solution is to found a sovereign wealthiness money that tin facilitate specified nonstop stakes. AI investors should instrumentality note.

"I volition soon beryllium introducing the American A.I. Sovereign Wealth Fund Act," Sanders revealed. "This authorities would springiness the nationalist a nonstop ownership involvement successful the largest A.I. companies successful our country. How? It would make a sovereign wealthiness money done a one-time 50 percent taxation -- not connected the profits of OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI and different companies, but paid with thing acold much invaluable than that: the stock."

Sanders specifically lists xAI -- the AI part of Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX) -- arsenic a imaginable people of partial nationalization. How earnestly should investors beryllium taking this? Betting markets connection immoderate penetration into what mightiness hap next.

Nationalize SpaceX? Here's what betting markets are predicting

Previous to SpaceX's historical IPO, betting markets were amazingly bullish connected the U.S. authorities nationalizing the company. In August of 2025, for example, definite betting markets had likelihood of the abstraction institution being nationalized by January of 2027 astatine astir 11%, though constricted trading volumes marque this somewhat suspect.