Starbucks’ Stock Down 17% In Five Years

2 months ago 26

Douglas A. McIntyre

Wed, July 22, 2026 astatine 10:05 AM CDT 3 min read

Quick Read

  • Starbucks' nett income cratered from $4.25 cardinal to a $2 cardinal tally rate, dragging shares down 17% implicit 5 years against the S&P's 70% gain.

  • CEO Brian Niccol's paper and work changes astatine SBUX look stiff contention from MCD and Dunkin', making double-digit same-store income maturation indispensable for a existent recovery.

  • Investors fixated connected Starbucks' historically beardown net whitethorn beryllium overlooking whether Niccol's turnaround tin ever reconstruct the company's highest profitability.

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What tin Starbucks' (NASDAQ: SBUX) absorption accidental astir its stock? Shares are up 24% this twelvemonth compared to the S&P, which has risen 9%. Over the past year, it is up 12% compared to the S&P astatine 19%. Over the past 5 years, its shares person fallen 17% compared to 70% for the S&P.

The multiyear descent successful stock terms is astir surely owed to a driblet successful nett income. To scope the nett income of fiscal 2023, which was $4.25 cardinal according to Morningstar, is astir impossible. The fig dropped to $3.76 cardinal successful fiscal 2024 and $1.87 cardinal successful fiscal 2025. At the existent yearly tally rate, based connected the Q2 2026 fiscal results, Starbucks' nett income for this fiscal twelvemonth volition beryllium astir $2 billion, up 12%. Given the payment of the double, based connected the nett income trajectory, enactment the aboriginal astatine $2.5 billion. It is inactive good abbreviated of Starbucks's champion years.

Starbucks Baristas Organize Strike In Three Cities

2024 Getty Images / Getty Images News via Getty Images

The situation that Starbucks volition find astir hard is same-store sales. Granted, this complaint was implicit 6% past quarter. However, it would request to beryllium into the treble digits for Starbucks to genuinely recover.

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At this moment, CEO Brian Niccol is admired for his enactment truthful far. After a dilatory start, Starbucks has gained momentum. However, it whitethorn find itself up against a wall. That partition is built by McDonald's  (NYSE: MCD), Dunkin' Donuts, and different nationalist chains that service meal and tens of thousands of section java shops. Starbucks' situation is to summation marketplace stock against this army.

Starbucks has immoderate weapons, it appears. Niccol has changed the menu. He said work is faster, though that is hard to beryllium from the outside. He has, perhaps, started a palmy determination to marque Starbucks stores what they erstwhile were: assemblage destinations.

Starbucks' biggest occupation is that investors whitethorn beryllium looking back, alternatively of forward. Starbucks' past was bright. As for the future, it is simply a guess.

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