S&P 500 Faces Oil-Fueled Sell-off Pressure in Possible Return to Merger Monday Deal

2 hours ago 1

Gerelyn Terzo

Mon, May 4, 2026 astatine 8:16 AM CDT 3 min read

Quick Read

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) opened the week little arsenic lipid prices spiked connected renewed Iran tensions, with scale futures slipping 0.1% after conflicting reports astir a U.S. warship adjacent the Strait of Hormuz. WTI crude futures jumped 3% to commercialized supra $105 per barrel, and Brent climbed 3% to supra $111, pulling superior into vigor names. Futures recovered erstwhile the Pentagon disputed the Iranian account. After past week's grounds mounting performance, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) remains supra the 7,200 threshold contempt today's humble pullback.

The trigger is the Strait of Hormuz. WTI crude is trading adjacent $103, up astir 1%, portion Brent has pushed to astir $110, up 2%. That follows a volatile April successful which WTI swung from $85.91 connected April 17 to a highest of $114.58 connected April 7 earlier settling adjacent $99.89 to adjacent the month. Conflicting reports of an Iranian rocket onslaught connected a U.S. warship, since denied by U.S. Central Command, person reintroduced a warfare premium.

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Winners and Losers Diverge

The communicative underneath the scale is rotation. Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Microsoft unneurotic relationship for much than a 5th of the S&P 500's marketplace value, and past week's reactions were brutally selective: Alphabet jumped 10% connected AI advertisement monetization and a $460 cardinal unreality backlog, portion Meta sank astir 9%, Microsoft fell 4%, and Amazon hardly budged. Investors are paying for impervious of returns implicit promises.

Energy is the wide beneficiary. RBC reiterated a Buy connected ConocoPhillips with a $152 target, and ExxonMobil posted Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.16 connected $83.16 cardinal successful revenue. Pain is showing up successful fuel-sensitive names: Norwegian Cruise Line dropped 5.5% premarket aft guiding good beneath expectations, citing Middle East disruption directly.

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