David Moadel
Tue, July 7, 2026 astatine 10:11 AM CDT 4 min read
Quick Read
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Rivian cratered 14% aft pricing a 75 cardinal stock offering, dragging Lucid down 9% connected sector-wide dilution fears.
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Analyst Tom Narayan raised Tesla's terms people to $500, but $65 of that premium rests wholly connected unconfirmed Tesla-SpaceX merger speculation.
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Shares of Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN) are down 14% successful Tuesday greeting trading, changing hands astatine $17 and alteration aft the electric-vehicle shaper priced a ample secondary equity offering aft Monday's close. The determination wipes retired astir of Rivian stock's 23% one-month beforehand heading into the announcement.
The selling has dispersed crossed the sector. Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID) banal is disconnected 9% astatine $6, and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) shares are down 3% astatine $408.
The enactment afloat reverses Monday's EV rally, erstwhile Tesla jumped connected robotaxi momentum and Rivian and Lucid some closed 7% higher. The crisp reversal underscores however rapidly sentiment tin displacement successful the EV group.
Rivian's 75 Million Share Offering Triggers the Dilution Trade
Rivian launched a 75 cardinal stock offering of Class A communal stock, with underwriters holding a 30-day enactment for up to 11.25 cardinal further shares. Off Rivian's $20 Monday close, the basal woody could rise astir $1.5 billion, oregon person to $1.7 cardinal with the overallotment.
Rivian said the proceeds volition spell to wide firm purposes, including equity contributions tied to its U.S. Department of Energy indebtedness supporting the Georgia manufacturing build-out. On 1.34 cardinal shares outstanding, the woody represents meaningful dilution and explains the crisp drawdown successful Rivian stock.
The superior rise arrived alongside encouraging operating data. Rivian preannounced Q2 2026 gross of $1.55 cardinal to $1.65 billion, up from $1.3 cardinal a twelvemonth earlier, with a raised full-year transportation outlook of 65,000 to 70,000 vehicles.
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The bull lawsuit is that Rivian is topping disconnected the equilibrium expanse to money the R2 programme and unlock the DOE indebtedness for Georgia. The carnivore lawsuit is straightforward: retail sentiment connected Reddit's r/stocks has stayed bearish crossed each model since the announcement, with the offering thread hitting 222 upvotes and 69 comments Monday evening.
Lucid Slides connected Sector Sympathy
There's nary confirmed company-specific catalyst down Lucid stock's 9% drop. Lucid shares look to beryllium trading down successful sympathy with Rivian arsenic investors reassess EV superior needs and dilution hazard crossed the group.

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