Prediction: Netflix Will Reach $100 on This Date

I'm starring with the conclusion. Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) presently trades astatine $76.96, and our proprietary exemplary projects the banal crosses the psychologically important $100 threshold connected September 18, 2026.

The 24/7 Wall St. terms people implicit the adjacent 12 months sits astatine $287.04, implying 272.98% upside. Our proposal is bargain with a assurance level of 90%.

24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary

A Brutal Six Months Sets Up the Setup

Netflix has been a punishing clasp this year. Shares are down 17.92% twelvemonth to day and 36.95% implicit the past 12 months, with the one-month instrumentality astatine -14.16%. The banal sits astir 15% beneath its 52-week precocious of $134.12 and lone a fewer dollars supra its 52-week debased of $75.01.

The fundamentals archer a precise antithetic story. Q1 2026 gross grew 16.2% twelvemonth implicit twelvemonth to $12.25 billion, and Netflix walked distant from the Warner Bros. woody with a $2.80 cardinal termination fee. Management raised 2026 escaped currency travel guidance to $12.5B and reaffirmed an operating borderline people of 31.5%.

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The Case for $300+

The bull lawsuit is built connected advertising. Ad gross is connected way to astir treble to $3B successful 2026, with the advertiser number up 70% twelvemonth implicit twelvemonth to implicit 4,000 clients and the ad-supported tier driving implicit 60% of caller sign-ups successful ads markets. Pair that with 325M+ paid memberships, the Tyson Fury vs Anthony Joshua unrecorded event, and a slate including Greta Gerwig's Narnia and David Fincher's The Hawk.

Analyst condemnation backs it up: 37 Buy ratings, 13 Holds, zero Sells, and a Street people of $114.15. Our bull script one-year terms is $300.43, a 290.37% full return.

What Could Go Wrong

The carnivore lawsuit starts with Q1's header EPS of $1.23, missing the $1.345 estimate. Bulls would antagonistic that the operational communicative is intact: operating income inactive grew 18.23%, and the Q1 miss reflects contented amortization that absorption expects to highest successful Q2 earlier easing.