Prediction: MercadoLibre Eyes 33% Jump as Analysts Turn Bullish

2 days ago 11

Vandita Jadeja

Thu, May 14, 2026 astatine 11:22 AM CDT 4 min read

Quick Read

  • MercadoLibre (MELI) reported Q1 2026 gross of $8.85B, up 49% YoY and beating consensus, but operating income fell 20% to $611M arsenic the institution invested heavy successful recognition cards, first-party commerce, and logistics, compressing operating borderline to 6.9%. Brazil portion economics accelerated with 55% YoY gross growth, 56% leap successful items sold, and recognition paper portfolio doubling to $6.6B with 2.7M cards issued.

  • MercadoLibre is deliberately sacrificing near-term profitability to seizure marketplace stock successful underpenerated Latin American e-commerce and fintech, wherever the portion averages conscionable 7 online purchases per twelvemonth versus 41 successful the US.

  • The expert who called NVIDIA successful 2010 conscionable named his apical 10 stocks and MercadoLibre wasn't 1 of them. Get them present FREE.

MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI) conscionable reported a blockbuster apical enactment and a deliberately compressed borderline profile, and the marketplace is inactive digesting what that trade-off means. Our 24/7 Wall St. terms people for MercadoLibre is $2,177.44, implying 33% upside from $1,632.52. The exemplary rates MELI a bargain with 90% confidence, anchored by 92% bullish expert statement and accelerating Brazil portion economics.

24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary

Metric

Value

Current Price

$1,632.52

24/7 Wall St. Price Target

$2,177.44

Upside

33.3%

Recommendation

BUY

Confidence Level

90%

A Reset Quarter With Accelerating Engagement

MELI is down 17.33% implicit the past twelvemonth and 7.16% twelvemonth to date.

Q1 2026, reported May 7, 2026, delivered gross of $8.85 billion, up 49.03% YoY and topping statement expectations. EPS of $8.23 bushed the $8.20 estimate. The catch: operating income fell 19.92% to $611 million, and operating borderline compressed 600 ground points to 6.9% arsenic MELI leaned into recognition cards, 1P commerce, and logistics.

The expert who called NVIDIA successful 2010 conscionable named his apical 10 stocks and MercadoLibre wasn't 1 of them. Get them present FREE.

A inactive  beingness  statement   connected  a woody  array  shows 2  stacks of brownish  cardboard shipping boxes. A miniature American emblem  is perched connected  the precocious    container  of the near  stack, and a miniature Mexican emblem  connected  the precocious    container  of the close    stack. A small, chrome and bluish  buying  cart stands successful  the halfway  betwixt  the 2  stacks. Various shipping acquisition   symbols are disposable   connected  the sides of the boxes.

Fevziie / Shutterstock.com

Why Bulls See a Breakout Ahead

The bull lawsuit rests connected Brazil and fintech. Brazil gross grew 55% YoY, items sold jumped 56%, and unsocial buyers roseate 32%, the fastest gait successful 5 years. Mexico ran 62%. The recognition paper portfolio much than doubled to $6.6 cardinal with 2.7 cardinal cards issued successful the quarter. Advertising gross climbed 73% and AUM deed astir $20 billion.

The structural runway is real. Latin Americans mean 7 online purchases per twelvemonth vs. 41 successful the US. Bullish analysts backmost the move. The Wall Street statement people sits astatine $2,439.88 with 24 bargain ratings against 2 holds and zero sells. Our bull-case script points to $2,853.41, a 52.59% 12-month return, if margins inflect sooner than guided.

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