Ricardo Pillai
Sun, April 26, 2026 astatine 5:08 PM CDT 3 min read
Is AGX a bully banal to buy? We came crossed a bullish thesis on Argan, Inc. connected Draco’s Substack by Derek Yin. In this article, we volition summarize the bulls’ thesis connected AGX. Argan, Inc.'s stock was trading astatine $ 597.88 arsenic of April 17th. AGX’s trailing P/E was 61.38 according to Yahoo Finance.
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Argan Inc. (AGX) is an engineering, procurement, and operation steadfast delivering gas-fired powerfulness plants nether a lump-sum turnkey exemplary that is progressively benefiting from AI-driven information halfway powerfulness demand. As hyperscalers and autarkic powerfulness producers accelerate buildouts, operation costs person risen from ~$1,000/kW to ~$2,500/kW, enabling higher declaration values and borderline enlargement successful a structurally constrained proviso environment.
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After important humanities losses crossed the industry, astir EPC peers exited LSTK contracting, leaving AGX arsenic 1 of the fewer scaled firms inactive executing fixed-price projects. This scarcity has go a structural vantage arsenic developers prioritize outgo certainty, portion lenders favour LSTK structures that displacement operation hazard distant from highly levered task concern vehicles, lowering financing costs and improving task viability.
AGX’s competitory positioning is further strengthened by its direct-hire labour exemplary done The Roberts Company, which reduces vulnerability to subcontractor ostentation successful a tightening skilled labour marketplace competing crossed LNG, renewables, and grid enlargement projects. At the aforesaid time, hyperscalers are progressively taking nonstop ownership of turbine procurement, lowering instrumentality vulnerability and allowing AGX to absorption connected higher-value operation execution, supporting borderline capture.
Near-term visibility is reinforced by large-scale opportunities specified arsenic the Sandow Lakes multi-gigawatt project, linked to hyperscaler request and broader information halfway infrastructure buildouts, which strengthens backlog maturation and multi-year gross visibility. With capableness constraints expected to persist done 2027, AGX is good positioned to proceed benefiting from pricing powerfulness and borderline expansion.
At ~16x guardant EV/EBIT, the marketplace does not afloat bespeak backlog durability oregon improving declaration economics, implying meaningful upside arsenic caller awards reprice net power. While risks see commodity volatility and execution delays, structural request maturation and constricted LSTK capableness make a favorable risk-reward skew.

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