Michael Williams
Mon, March 9, 2026 astatine 11:55 AM CDT 4 min read
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iShares Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) roseate 32.81% implicit 12 months but dropped 8.41% successful the week ending March 6, with YTD astatine 4.77%. China represents 25% of EEM; Tencent (TCEHY) is 3.85% and PDD Holdings (PDD) 0.64%.
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Rising marketplace anxiousness triggered a rotation distant from higher-volatility assets, with iShares Emerging Markets ETF bearing the brunt of hazard repricing.
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EEM is up implicit the past 12 months, past dropped 8.41% successful a azygous week ending March 6, 2026. That benignant of whipsaw is not a glitch successful the money — it is precisely however emerging marketplace vulnerability behaves erstwhile macro sentiment shifts. iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEARCA:EEM) gives investors wide entree to that maturation communicative crossed dozens of countries and hundreds of companies successful a azygous trade. The U.S. dollar absorption and what happens wrong the fund's heaviest state stake volition thrust show from here.
EEM has had a beardown trailing year. The money is up 32.81% implicit the past 12 months, though momentum has stalled sharply successful caller weeks with the money dropping sharply successful the week ending March 6, 2026. The pullback reflects a broader displacement successful capitalist sentiment alternatively than immoderate fund-specific issue.
Market anxiousness is rising sharply. The VIX fearfulness gauge climbed to 23.75 arsenic of March 5, 2026 — up 31.9% implicit the anterior period — signaling that investors are actively repricing hazard distant from higher-volatility assets. EEM bore the brunt of that rotation — EEM dropped 8.41% successful the week ending March 6, 2026 year-to-date instrumentality inactive sits astatine 4.77% The VIX fearfulness gauge climbed to 23.75 arsenic of March 5, 2026, up 31.9% implicit the anterior period Emerging markets thin to consciousness hazard repricing much acutely than developed marketplace peers, which explains wherefore a azygous week of sentiment displacement tin erase weeks of anterior gains.
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Emerging marketplace assets are priced successful section currencies but held by planetary investors who deliberation successful dollars. When the U.S. dollar strengthens, EM assets suffer worth successful dollar presumption erstwhile converted back, and the outgo of dollar-denominated indebtedness carried by galore EM governments and companies rises. A weakening dollar has historically been 1 of the clearest tailwinds for EM funds.
A January 2026 investigation from 24/7 Wall St. predicted EEM could "rocket successful 2026," citing a weakening U.S. dollar arsenic the superior operator and projecting up to $50 cardinal successful inflows into emerging marketplace indebtedness funds. The 10-year Treasury output supports that thesis for now. Yields person pulled backmost from a 12-month precocious of 4.58% to 4.13% arsenic of March 5, 2026, a inclination that tends to soften dollar strength. Watch the FRED 10-year Treasury leafage weekly. If yields reverse toward 4.5%, dollar unit connected EEM is apt to follow.

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