Blue Jays vs Rays betting preview: Why Tampa Bay at -130 is the play despite Kevin Gausman on the mound

It hasn't been a large agelong of shot for maine implicit the past fewer days. Sometimes the looks are correct, but the outcomes are wrong. Sure, it is casual to accidental the look is incorrect if you person a losing ticket, and determination is simply a batch of truth.

Yesterday, the Philadelphia Phillies won the archetypal 5 innings 1-0. I expected Aaron Nola to beryllium worse, but helium pitched well, truthful my play connected the Miami Marlins was a loss, but it wasn't a unspeakable look. Today, I anticipation we tin get backmost connected way with the Toronto Blue Jays taking connected the Tampa Bay Rays.

Yandy Díaz of the Tampa Bay Rays looks connected betwixt innings against the Oakland Athletics astatine Oakland Coliseum successful Oakland, Calif., connected Aug. 20, 2024. (Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images)

The Blue Jays were inches, minutes, outs, immoderate descriptor you wanted to use, distant from winning the World Series past year. This season, they look similar they volition conflict to adjacent marque the playoffs.

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They are presently 3 games nether .500, which is simply a unsmooth look considering they are successful 1 of the toughest divisions successful baseball. Is it a World Series hangover, oregon is it thing worse for the team? The pitching unit looks a spot rough, throwing to a 4.27 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP.

One of their amended starters is taking the elevation contiguous arsenic the Rays crook to Kevin Gausman. For the year, Gausman is 2-2 with a 3.10 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP. He has made 3 roadworthy starts this season, with conscionable 1 of them being a prime outing. He has allowed 9 earned runs implicit 16.2 innings. The Rays person been precise beardown against the Blue Jays right-hander successful the past. In 74 at-bats against Gausman, they are hitting .351. They lone person 4 extra-base hits against him, though.

Tampa Bay is 1 of those teams that finds ways to triumph nary substance who is connected their roster. I person to accidental that I'm a spot shocked astatine however large the squad is looking done the opening information of the year. They are 22-12 with 1 of the champion records successful baseball. At home, they are 12-4, looking similar 1 of the astir ascendant teams successful the sport. As a team, they are hitting .253, and the pitching unit is throwing to a 3.67 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP.

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Drew Rasmussen of the Tampa Bay Rays throws a transportation during the archetypal inning against the Baltimore Orioles astatine Tropicana Field successful St. Petersburg, Fla., connected Aug. 14, 2022. (Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images)

Looking to presumption them for yet different triumph is Drew Rasmussen. For the season, the righty is 2-1 with a 2.64 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP. He has made 2 location starts this twelvemonth and has gone six innings successful some of them. He has allowed a full of six hits, 1 locomotion and 1 earned tally implicit those 12 innings. Blue Jays hitters haven't been large against him, hitting conscionable .200 overall, but they bash person 5 extra-base hits of their 12 hits. That signifies that erstwhile they bash marque contact, they deed the shot hard.

There are a fewer things that basal retired to maine here. First, I deliberation the Rays person the precocious manus successful this crippled and should drawback the win. With a enactment of -130 for the Rays, I deliberation we inactive person value, and I'm going to instrumentality them to win. Rasmussen has been precise strong. Gausman is keeping this enactment closer, but the Blue Jays person been atrocious connected the road, and the Rays person been beardown astatine home.

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Kevin Gausman pitches for the Toronto Blue Jays during the archetypal inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers astatine Rogers Centre successful Toronto, Ont., connected April 7, 2026. (Cole Burston/Getty Images)

One different play worthy putting a small spot of wealth connected is simply a prop. Yandy Diaz has been fantabulous against Gausman. While helium doesn't person a ton of extra-base hits against him, helium does person a .583 mean against him successful 12 at-bats. I similar him to get 2+ full bases astatine +120.

For much sports betting accusation and plays, travel David connected X/Twitter: @futureprez2024