Bitcoin Price: BTC Is Up 19% in 30 Days — Is the Bear Market Officially Over?

3 days ago 3

Sam Daodu

Mon, May 4, 2026 astatine 12:05 PM CDT 9 min read

Quick Read

Bitcoin’s 19% rally implicit the past 30 days was driven by 3 catalysts: the April 6 Iran ceasefire dialog report, Morgan Stanley’s spot Bitcoin ETF motorboat connected April 8, and Strategy’s $2.54 cardinal BTC acquisition connected April 22.
CryptoQuant’s Bull Score Index concisely deed neutral connected April 22 for the archetypal clip since Bitcoin peaked astatine $126,000 past October, earlier dropping backmost to bearish territory by the extremity of the month.
Bitcoin has ne'er closed 3 consecutive greenish months successful a bear-market twelvemonth (2014, 2018, 2022), making May the deciding trial aft March hardly closed greenish astatine +0.19% and April finished up +11.87%.
A sustained adjacent supra the 200-day moving mean astatine $82,228 oregon a greenish May adjacent would beryllium the archetypal coagulated confirmation that the Bitcoin carnivore marketplace bottommost is in.
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Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) deed an all-time precocious of $126,000 successful October 2025, past crashed 52% to $60,000 by aboriginal February aft the U.S. and Israel struck Iran. Now the BTC terms is astatine $80,200, up 19% implicit the past 30 days, and trading supra $80,000 for the archetypal clip since January.

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The existent rally is being driven by easing tensions successful the Iran war, with Brent crude pulling backmost from a $126 spike past week to astir $110 and lifting the bearish unit that has weighed connected the crypto marketplace each year. With the Bitcoin terms present holding supra $80K, is this the commencement of a existent recovery, and is the carnivore marketplace yet over?

How Bitcoin Climbed From $66,000 to $80,000 successful 30 Days

A close-up of a aureate Bitcoin coin centered connected a acheronian background. Bright airy and sparks emanate from the coin, and bluish lightning bolts are disposable connected the right. In the background, greenish and reddish fiscal candlestick charts amusement an upward trend, with bluish and pinkish inclination lines overlaid and integer numbers disposable connected the left.

For astir of 2026, Bitcoin had been stuck betwixt $65,000 and $73,000, with astir traders betting the terms would autumn further and lipid prices weighing connected the market. That changed connected April 6, erstwhile an Axios study dropped that the U.S., Iran, and determination mediators were negotiating a 45-day ceasefire. The Bitcoin terms jumped from $66,000 to $69,000 afterwards, wiping retired $196 cardinal successful bets against BTC.

When Iran and the U.S. agreed to the ceasefire 2 days later, Brent crude tumbled 16% and BTC pushed to $71,600. The rally had much than conscionable the geopolitical catalyst down it—institutional wealth showed up alongside the easing tensions. Morgan Stanley's spot Bitcoin ETF launched connected April 8 with $34 cardinal successful day-one inflows, giving traders their archetypal mode to bargain BTC done a large U.S. bank.

Moreover, Strategy's April 22 acquisition was the determination that made the rally stick. The institution bought 34,164 BTC for $2.54 cardinal connected the aforesaid time Trump extended the Iran ceasefire indefinitely. The 2 events pushed BTC backmost supra $77,000 and gave the marketplace its archetypal existent crushed to support going higher since October.

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