Alex Sirois
Wed, August 12, 2026 astatine 8:22 AM CDT 4 min read
Quick Read
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GOOGL's 11th consecutive EPS bushed featured 82% Cloud maturation and a $460 cardinal backlog, yet the banal trades astatine a guardant P/E of conscionable 17.
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GOOGL trades astatine a trailing P/E of 18 versus MSFT's 28, portion 58 of 64 analysts complaint it Buy toward a $428 statement target.
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Free currency travel turned negative, semipermanent indebtedness astir doubled to $98 billion, and 2026 capex is guided to $175 to $185 billion.
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At $343.80, Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) looks mispriced. The banal trades astatine a guardant P/E of 17 portion posting 24.2% gross maturation and 82% Google Cloud growth, a mismatch worthy acting on.
Alphabet is the genitor of Google Search, YouTube, Google Cloud, Android, and Waymo, and it sits astatine the halfway of the AI infrastructure buildout. The caller pullback has been sharp. Shares are down 8.96% implicit the past week and 3.75% implicit the past month, dragging the aggregate backmost to a level that looks anomalous adjacent to peers.
The hostility is simple. Alphabet is spending more, increasing faster, and being rewarded with a smaller aggregate than Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), which trades astatine a trailing P/E of 28.
Why the Multiple Looks Mispriced
Q2 2026 delivered EPS of $9.11 against a $3.04 consensus, the 11th consecutive EPS beat. Revenue reached $119.80 billion, extending a 12-quarter streak of double-digit growth. Google Cloud accelerated from 34% successful Q3 2025 to 82% successful Q2 2026, with backlog expanding to implicit $460 billion.
Gemini is landing commercially. Nearly 90% of the Fortune 100 usage Gemini Enterprise, the Gemini App has 950 cardinal monthly progressive users, and models process 22 cardinal API tokens per minute. A PEG ratio of 0.96 and expert people of $428.04 some emblem valuation support.
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Why the Capex Story Could Sour
Free currency travel turned antagonistic astatine -$5.86 cardinal arsenic capex doubled to $44.92 billion. Long-term indebtedness jumped from $46.5 cardinal to $98.2 billion, involvement disbursal roseate astir 5x twelvemonth implicit year, and the buyback was suspended. Management guided 2026 capex to $175 to $185 billion.
Leadership turnover added noise. Reddit sentiment dropped aft quality that the Google DeepMind CEO and 4 different AI leaders stepped down. Insider enactment crossed the past model skews nett selling. If Cloud maturation decelerates earlier the AI walk earns its return, the carnivore lawsuit gets a existent footing.

5 days ago
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